Friday, November 24, 2006
Conspiracy theory... my take...
Lebanese politician Pierre Gemayel gets killed. Then suddenly all the mainstream media starts to hint that it could be the work of the Syrians. Now, there's an anti-Syria riot in Lebanon.
You know what? As of now, there are no evidence that points to Syria. All we know is, the guy got killed! What makes everyone convinced that Syria did it? Because the media keeps harping on the fact that Gemayel is anti-Syria! That's all!
Let's sit back and look beyond the fog of the media and analyse. Who will stand to gain the most with this guy's death?
Syria is still getting a lot of flak from Rafiq Hariri's death. In fact, they've lost considerable influence in Lebanon because of that. They claim they have no role in Hariri's death. Even then, Syria has lost plenty from the effect of these accusations. They were forced to withdraw from Lebanon. Would they want to further undermine their influence in Lebanon by killing another Lebanese? If you were them, would you? Know pretty clearly that everyone will blame you even if you didn't do it?
To a lesser extent, the US and its allies are starting to warm up to Syria (and Iran). Okay, it isn't obvious, but let's face it. They need their help in stabilising Iraq. It is a chance for Syria to patch relations. Maybe even show that they are responsible citizens to planet Earth. Would they want to kill an insignificant guy to botch this up. If you where them, would you?
The weakening of Syria's military influence in Lebanon caused by the first assassination allowed their bullying neighbour to attack indiscriminately. (Of course they did not expect the Hezbollah win.)
This bullying neighbour also stand to benefit most with a messy Iraq, since Iraq has the potential to become a region powerhouse, as seen before Bush Junior decided to 'avenge' daddy.
Who would stand to gain the most if Syria remains a global outcast and Iraq remains a total mess? Well, I would think we all know the answer. And what is the easiest way to do that? I'm sure we all know the answer. Kill a politician in Lebanon, preferably an anti-Syrian one.
# Crapped by Toadjuice on 11/24/2006 12:46:00 pm
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